Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.516205 0.575306 0.639203 0.713548 0.797828 0.890584 1.000645
2025-03-09 0.429398 0.511848 0.608014 0.729023 0.878006 1.056426 1.287766
2025-03-16 0.371430 0.462450 0.573996 0.721838 0.914250 1.158379 1.495076
2025-03-23 0.335263 0.432451 0.556469 0.728047 0.961958 1.273596 1.726761
2025-03-30 0.301280 0.400211 0.530788 0.718093 0.983730 1.352811 1.914787
2025-04-06 0.275485 0.375580 0.511708 0.713398 1.009807 1.437682 2.117351
2025-04-13 0.246190 0.343073 0.478215 0.684040 0.995918 1.461249 2.228249
2025-04-20 0.231929 0.330338 0.471131 0.691599 1.036181 1.567957 2.478502
2025-04-27 0.219639 0.319233 0.465121 0.699583 1.076897 1.678142 2.745871
2025-05-04 0.208246 0.308411 0.458388 0.705353 1.113867 1.784894 3.018804
2025-05-11 0.197167 0.297121 0.449861 0.707147 1.143861 1.882087 3.285376
2025-05-18 0.188572 0.288986 0.445483 0.714994 1.184177 2.000046 3.602935
2025-05-25 0.175157 0.272487 0.426883 0.698122 1.181244 2.043269 3.788842
2025-06-01 0.168768 0.266913 0.425664 0.710766 1.231678 2.188310 4.192673
2025-06-08 0.159323 0.255605 0.413999 0.703988 1.245808 2.266491 4.470953
2025-06-15 0.152993 0.249046 0.409812 0.710005 1.283950 2.394020 4.868619
2025-06-22 0.144540 0.238300 0.397623 0.700332 1.290999 2.460524 5.142658
2025-06-29 0.137595 0.229718 0.388616 0.695767 1.307398 2.547225 5.473084
2025-07-06 0.127516 0.215034 0.367806 0.667227 1.273298 2.525440 5.549967
2025-07-13 0.123492 0.210881 0.365735 0.674576 1.312792 2.663620 6.025193
2025-07-20 0.119783 0.207057 0.363985 0.682337 1.353714 2.809033 6.539398
2025-07-27 0.116012 0.202886 0.361295 0.687947 1.390456 2.948868 7.060481
2025-08-03 0.111976 0.197985 0.356895 0.689691 1.418860 3.072512 7.558137